Rainy weather.
Jordan to experience first wave of atmospheric instability
Jordan will experience its first wave of atmospheric instability starting Wednesday, October 30, 2024, with the conditions expected to last for several days – per ArabiaWeather’s forecasts.
This period of instability is forecasted to bring sporadic thunderstorms, primarily affecting southern and eastern regions on Wednesday and Thursday.
According to the models, scattered thunderstorms are likely from Wednesday morning through Thursday evening, potentially delivering localized heavy rains in narrow areas, raising the risk of flash floods in valleys and lowlands.
Some areas may also see strong winds and hail storms accompanying the rain showers.
Friday through Sunday: Expanding impact expected
By Friday through Sunday, the chances for widespread instability are high, likely due to increased cold air flow at higher altitudes, coinciding with the presence of the Red Sea trough.
Instability in Jordan: Random yet potentially dangerous
Weather experts emphasized the unpredictable nature of these unstable conditions, which often result in highly localized rainfall with significant variation in intensity across small areas.
This can lead to rapid and hazardous flash flooding, including what’s known as “transferred floods” – strong flows of water from rainfall in distant areas.
The conditions can change rapidly, often with intense hailstorms and sudden wind gusts. Additionally, dense dust clouds may form over desert regions just before thunderstorms begin. This upcoming instability is expected to primarily affect southern and eastern Jordan, urging extra caution and preparedness.
Key recommendations to handle the instability
Given the possible risks, ArabiaWeather offers several recommendations to ensure safety during this period:
- Be cautious of potential flash floods and significant valley flows.
- Stay alert to transferred flooding, where heavy water flow may reach areas that have not experienced rainfall.
- Avoid being in valleys and ravines, especially while harvesting olives.
- Be mindful of large hail risks in southern and eastern Jordan.
- Exercise caution regarding lightning and intense thunderstorms.
- Drive carefully to avoid skidding due to wet conditions.
- Be prepared for dust waves, especially in desert areas, as these can impact road visibility and respiratory health for sensitive individuals.
