No rainfall expected in Jordan next week

Weather expert at ArabiaWeather, Jamal Al-Mousa, confirmed that there are currently no indications of a rain-bearing low-pressure system expected to affect Jordan in the coming days or throughout next week.

The forecast comes as the country continues to experience mild autumn conditions, with temperatures remaining above their seasonal averages for this time of year.

In an interview broadcast on Roya TV’s News Bulletin, Al-Mousa provided an in-depth analysis of the rainfall season’s progress and temperature trends across Jordan.

Delayed rainy season and reliance on coming months

Al-Mousa explained that Jordan’s rainy season typically starts in mid-October and ends around mid-May. He shared statistics showing that “October usually accounts for about 3% of the annual rainfall total, while November contributes around 13%,” making November the month when rainfall accumulation generally begins.

However, he cautioned that “there are currently no meteorological signs of a rain system forming between now and next week,” indicating that dry conditions will continue across the country.

Highlighting the importance of the upcoming months, Al-Mousa noted that “the rainfall recorded in January, February, and March is the most crucial for Jordan’s overall water levels,” with historical data showing that the largest amounts of rain typically fall in January and February.

Preliminary outlooks, he added, suggest that “this season’s rainfall may be below average.”

Warm air masses and above-average temperatures

According to Al-Mousa, “temperatures will remain moderate throughout the week,” with highs ranging between 25°C and 30°C and lows between 15°C and 18°C across most major regions.

These temperatures are higher than usual for late October. Al-Mousa pointed out that the average high temperature for Amman at this time of year is around 23°C, while the average low is 13°C—meaning current conditions are notably warmer.

He attributed this warmth to “air masses that are higher than average in temperature,” noting that cooling generally begins in mid-November. “We are still in the autumn season,” he added, “and there are no clear signs yet of a temperature drop. Cooler weather will likely be felt after mid-next month.”

Eastern winds and the Red Sea Trough

Discussing accompanying weather phenomena, Al-Mousa said that “eastern winds may become active in the coming days, stirring dust and reducing visibility in some areas,” urging drivers and residents to exercise caution.

He also explained the seasonal influence of the “Red Sea Trough,” which typically appears in autumn due to temperature differences between land and sea. This trough, he said, “causes dry winds across Jordan and can trigger brief unstable weather conditions, sometimes leading to light showers—usually around mid-November.”

While the country remains under the influence of mild and warm air masses for now, forecasters continue to monitor regional weather patterns closely in anticipation of the first significant rainfall events of the season.